Today across all 16 bots · fresh start 1 AM PT · daily report—starting up…
Bankroll now——
Record——
Bets open now——
Best market——
Live Polymarket Up or Down predictions: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, gold and silver
Free live odds, price to beat and model predictions for every Polymarket US Up or Down market, with 16 paper-trading bots betting around the clock. Pick a market to watch it live.
New here? Here's the 20-second version.
Each card is a live Polymarket US round. Up wins if the price ends at or above the price to beat; otherwise Down wins.
Polymarket's prices are the crowd's odds: Up at 70¢ means about a 70% chance.
A paper-money bot watches each market and bets only when its model thinks those odds are wrong by enough to beat the fee.
Model vs market this roundOrange: model's chance of Up · Blue: Polymarket US Up price
Order book · Up side—
Bid shares
Bid
Ask
Ask shares
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per 8 hours, Deribit
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Feed
Status
Price
vs BRTI avg
Ticks/s
Last tick
Delay
Model scoreboardNo graded rounds yet.
Called with
Rounds
Right
Hit rate
Avg confidence
Brier
CalibrationWhen the model says X%, how often is it right?
Recent rounds
Round (ET)
Price to beat
Settled at
Result
Call 1 min left
Call 30 s left
Final call (10 s)
Prediction
Results appear here after each round ends.
DATA RECORDEROpening storage…
BACKTESTReplays past rounds with Polymarket US's own price and odds history, using the trader settings above.
Bankroll over time
Model vs market accuracyLower Brier is better; 0.25 is a coin flip
Time left
Rounds
Model right
Market right
Model Brier
Market Brier
Backtest trades
Round (ET)
Action
Price
Shares
P&L
Why
Gold 15-minute Up or Down: live prediction and odds
Polymarket US runs a Gold Up or Down market every 15 minutes on weekdays. It settles Up if the Chainlink XAU/USD spot price at the last second of the round is at or above the price at the start. WickTape shows that price to beat, the live gold price, the model's chance of Up, Polymarket's own odds and order book, and what its paper-money bot is doing, all updating every second. Paper trading only; not financial advice.