Reading the WickTape dashboard

A quick tour of what you're looking at on each market and on the track record.

Updated 2026-10-29

The market list

Each card is one market. It shows the time left in the round, Polymarket's current Up and Down prices, how far the settlement price is above or below the price to beat, and what that market's bot is doing right now: waiting for a better price, holding a bet to the result, done for the round, or sitting out.

Inside a market

• Round ends: the countdown to the end of the round.
• Price to beat: the official starting price. Up wins if the end price is at or above it.
• Polymarket US price: the settlement price right now (for crypto, the 60-second average; for gold and silver, the Chainlink price).
• Live price from exchanges (crypto only): where the average is heading.
• Chance of UP: the model's estimate, and the "fair price" that implies.
• Auto-trader: the bot's current bet or why it isn't betting yet.
• The chart: the settlement price against the price to beat, with the bot's buys and sells marked.
• Order book: Polymarket's live bids and asks for Up.

The track record

• Made money: the share of settled bets that ended in profit, including ones sold early.
• Held to the result, won: of the bets held to the end, how many won.
• Average price paid: what those held bets cost per share, which is the market's own estimate of the chance. Winning more often than the average price is what an edge looks like.
• Model vs market accuracy: how often the model and Polymarket's own prices picked the winner at different times before the end.

Paper money only. Results so far don't predict future results.